young soybean crop after summer rain
HOW WET IS WET? Suppose the long-term forecast is right and June winds up wetter than normal over most of Indiana. Does that mean flooding and big rains? Not necessarily, experts say.

Warm, wet June best bet right now

Weather at a Glance: Long-term weather forecasts tilt toward higher temperatures and more rainfall than normal for most of Indiana.

Hoosiers will need to open the windows, turn on the fan or kick on the air conditioning at least some nights in June if the long-range weather forecasts are right. There may also be opportunities to empty out the rain gauge.

These forecasts for Indiana are based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.

• Temperature: There is a 33% to 40% chance that temperatures will trend to the warm side in Indiana during June.

• Rainfall: We can finally call it rain and not precipitation! Don’t look for snow this month. There is the same 33% to 40% chance of more rainfall than normal. A couple of counties in the southwest toe of Indiana have equal chances for normal, above-normal or below-normal rainfall.

• National highlights: Only a handful of states in the Great Plains and Upper Midwest escape increased odds for a warm trend. Equal chances for above-normal, below-normal or normal temperatures are forecast for Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota and much of Nebraska.

Rainfall is a different story. A group of states in New England and extending into the eastern Corn Belt, including Indiana, have increased odds for above-normal rainfall. Odds favor drier-than-normal weather in the uppermost western quarter of the U.S. It’s too difficult to predict a trend across the rest of the country.

• Follow future changes: Visit this NOAA site for updates.

Eggert is a student at Purdue University. He works for the Indiana State Climate Office.

 

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